Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2097.723565 2286.042896 2478.330674 2689.067905 2913.238145 3144.284752 3400.125379
2024-10-27 1720.773312 1989.245317 2275.414223 2602.026738 2963.325566 3349.631153 3792.744163
2024-11-03 1581.849420 1907.443262 2265.196941 2685.125189 3162.123265 3684.718752 4298.104239
2024-11-10 1460.917740 1826.305969 2238.239422 2733.194596 3307.771371 3949.804428 4717.335702
2024-11-17 1335.321426 1725.898609 2176.732960 2729.993732 3384.832846 4129.375135 5033.811932
2024-11-24 1214.722744 1620.604568 2099.640584 2699.187853 3421.586250 4256.032188 5284.406730
2024-12-01 1139.937264 1564.415691 2075.354229 2725.920604 3521.980544 4454.049996 5616.893216
2024-12-08 1061.047870 1497.075642 2032.073308 2724.655160 3584.696152 4604.659831 5891.876561
2024-12-15 1015.297442 1468.248046 2033.496322 2775.914656 3709.674891 4829.324039 6256.283847
2024-12-22 943.239394 1400.504569 1981.509353 2756.361350 3743.988242 4941.826398 6483.956048
2024-12-29 912.141689 1384.735197 1994.334053 2817.673190 3878.664834 5177.537524 6863.529945
2025-01-05 865.430590 1344.929188 1973.281871 2833.184348 3953.890243 5339.041281 7152.143426
2025-01-12 817.153282 1301.277064 1946.165596 2840.704994 4020.071297 5491.910060 7434.807247
2025-01-19 736.322644 1207.593860 1847.803176 2750.207591 3956.192633 5478.378870 7507.526366
2025-01-26 724.384707 1211.521030 1881.928394 2836.885195 4124.416625 5761.464072 7957.526788
2025-02-02 700.976409 1197.214173 1889.652222 2887.013778 4244.247548 5983.169128 8331.252387
2025-02-09 661.822630 1157.359871 1859.610016 2883.676067 4291.593530 6110.667263 8584.665361
2025-02-16 616.524450 1105.698958 1810.424173 2851.551180 4298.329223 6184.001090 8767.675148
2025-02-23 592.345813 1085.078112 1804.735169 2879.428746 4386.055895 6363.802609 9090.056557
2025-03-02 561.316441 1052.032778 1779.385936 2878.109171 4432.856245 6489.188441 9341.807974
2025-03-09 547.428112 1045.428822 1792.504477 2931.556601 4555.519894 6716.393394 9729.257509
2025-03-16 514.590237 1006.432943 1755.570049 2911.169840 4574.240735 6803.797966 9931.976574
2025-03-23 505.536023 1005.935750 1776.491910 2975.090406 4711.578586 7051.946086 10350.152825